How Many Mutual Funds Beat the Market Annually?

12 minutes read

The percentage of mutual funds that manage to beat the market annually can vary significantly based on the specific market conditions, the category of mutual fund, and the time period analyzed. Historically, a substantial portion of actively managed mutual funds have struggled to outperform their benchmarks, such as major indices like the S&P 500, over the long term. Various studies and reports, including those by S&P Dow Jones Indices via their SPIVA scorecards, have frequently shown that a majority of active funds tend to underperform their benchmarks over extended periods. This is due to factors such as management fees, trading costs, and the inherent challenge of consistently selecting winning investments in a highly efficient market. However, some funds do outperform their benchmarks in the short term, driven by skilled management, unique investment strategies, or favorable market conditions. It's important for investors to carefully consider the track record, fees, and investment strategies of any mutual fund they are considering.

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What is an actively managed fund?

An actively managed fund is a type of investment fund where a portfolio manager or a team of managers makes decisions about how to allocate assets in the fund. They actively buy and sell securities, such as stocks and bonds, with the goal of outperforming a specific benchmark index or achieving specific investment objectives. The managers conduct research, analyze trends, and use their expertise to select investments they believe will perform well.


Actively managed funds usually have higher fees compared to passively managed funds, such as index funds, because of the costs associated with the research and management activities. These fees are often justified by the potential for higher returns, although this is not always guaranteed. The success of an actively managed fund depends heavily on the skill and judgment of the fund managers.


What is a load fund versus a no-load fund?

A load fund and a no-load fund are two types of mutual funds that differ primarily in how they charge fees to investors.

  1. Load Fund: This type of mutual fund charges a fee or commission when you buy or sell shares. The fee is known as a "load," and it is typically used to pay commissions to brokers or financial advisors. Load fees can be structured in various ways: Front-End Load: This is a fee paid upfront when shares are purchased. It is deducted from the initial investment, reducing the amount of money actually invested in the fund. Back-End Load: Also known as a deferred sales charge, this fee is charged when shares are sold. It typically decreases over time, eventually disappearing if the investor holds the fund long enough. Level Load: This fee is charged as an annual expense rather than at the time of purchase or sale. It is often a fixed percentage of the investment.
  2. No-Load Fund: This mutual fund does not charge any sales loads, meaning there is no fee for buying or selling shares. Investors can purchase shares directly from the fund company without going through a broker who earns a commission. However, no-load funds aren't completely free of fees; they still charge management fees and other operational expenses, which are reflected in the fund's expense ratio.


Investors choosing between load and no-load funds should consider their investment goals, the availability of professional advice, and the impact of fees on potential returns. No-load funds may be more cost-effective for those who prefer to handle their investments themselves, whereas load funds might be justified if professional guidance significantly contributes to achieving investment objectives.


How to evaluate the performance of a mutual fund?

Evaluating the performance of a mutual fund involves analyzing various factors and metrics that can provide insights into its past results, risk profile, and potential future performance. Here’s a comprehensive approach to evaluating a mutual fund:

  1. Objective and Strategy Alignment: Ensure the fund’s objective and strategy align with your investment goals. For instance, a growth-oriented fund may not suit someone seeking steady income.
  2. Historical Performance: Review the fund’s historical returns over multiple periods (1-year, 3-year, 5-year, 10-year, and since inception). Compare the fund’s performance with its benchmark index to assess relative performance.
  3. Risk-Adjusted Returns: Examine metrics such as the Sharpe Ratio, which measures the fund’s return relative to its risk. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted returns. Consider other metrics like the Sortino Ratio and Treynor Ratio.
  4. Volatility: Check the fund’s standard deviation to understand the variability of its returns. Higher volatility can indicate higher risk.
  5. Expense Ratio: Evaluate the expense ratio, which includes management fees and other costs. Lower expense ratios are generally preferable.
  6. Alpha and Beta: Alpha measures the fund’s excess return relative to its benchmark. A positive alpha indicates outperformance. Beta measures the fund’s sensitivity to market movements. A beta greater than 1 indicates higher volatility than the market.
  7. Manager’s Track Record: Review the fund manager’s experience and track record, including how long they have been managing the fund. Stability in management may suggest consistency in strategy.
  8. Portfolio Composition: Analyze the fund’s portfolio to understand sector allocation, diversification, and concentration in specific stocks or asset classes. Check for alignment with your risk tolerance and investment preferences.
  9. Turnover Ratio: High turnover ratios may result in higher costs and tax implications. Lower turnover might suggest a long-term investment strategy.
  10. Dividend and Distribution Policy: Consider the fund’s policy on dividends and capital gains distributions if you rely on regular income.
  11. Peer Comparison: Compare the fund’s performance and characteristics with similar funds (peer group) in the same category.
  12. Load and Fees: Be aware of any front-end or back-end loads, which are sales charges that can impact returns.
  13. Sustainability and ESG Factors: Consider the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors if sustainability is important to you.


By using a combination of these factors, investors can gain a comprehensive understanding of a mutual fund’s potential performance and determine its suitability for their investment portfolio. Remember that past performance is not indicative of future results, and it’s important to consider current market conditions and personal financial goals.


How to analyze historical performance of mutual funds?

Analyzing the historical performance of mutual funds is an essential part of making informed investment decisions. Here's a structured approach to guide you through the process:

  1. Define Objectives and Time Frame: Understand your investment goals and risk tolerance level. Determine the time frame over which you want to analyze performance – short-term (1-3 years), medium-term (3-5 years), or long-term (5-10+ years).
  2. Gather Fundamental Data: Look for key information such as NAV (Net Asset Value), annual returns, and fees, which can be found on the mutual fund’s prospectus, fact sheet, or financial websites.
  3. Examine Total Return: Analyze the fund’s total return, which includes dividends and capital gains along with price appreciation. Consider annualized returns over different periods to account for fluctuating performance.
  4. Compare Against Benchmarks: Determine the appropriate benchmark index for the mutual fund’s category. Compare the fund’s performance to these benchmarks to assess relative performance.
  5. Evaluate Risk-adjusted Performance: Use metrics like the Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, or Alpha to understand the fund’s return relative to its risk. Assess the fund’s beta to gauge its volatility compared to the market.
  6. Review Historical Consistency: Look for consistency in the fund's performance across different market conditions. Identify any periods of underperformance and investigate the reasons behind them.
  7. Analyze Portfolio Composition: Examine the asset allocation and sector exposure to understand the sources of returns. Check for changes in fund management, strategy, or significant shifts in holdings.
  8. Consider Fees and Expenses: Evaluate the expense ratio and any other fees that may affect net returns. Compare these costs with those of similar funds to ensure they are competitive.
  9. Research Fund Management: Investigate the reputation and track record of the fund managers. Stability in management can contribute to consistent performance.
  10. Review Qualitative Factors: Consider the fund’s investment philosophy and process. Align these with your investment principles and beliefs.
  11. Use Analytical Tools and Software: Leverage financial analysis tools, platforms, and software to simplify data gathering and interpretation.
  12. Review Peer Comparisons: Compare the fund’s performance with that of its peers in the same category. Identify any unique advantages or disadvantages it may have.


By following these steps, you can develop a comprehensive view of a mutual fund’s historical performance, helping you make more informed investment decisions. Always consider seeking advice from a financial advisor for personalized guidance aligned with your financial goals.

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